
The Democrats are on the run. Seriously. They had attacks lined up for all the supposed VP choices - Romney, Pawlenty, Ridge, etc... but Palin was completely out of left field and they are like chickens with their head cut off. Polls don't mean squat until election day, but they do offer up some insight as to what the public perception is.
Right now, McCain has made an amazing comeback. The majority of this is due to the choice of Sarah Palin, while the remainder is so small it could be classified as "miscellaneous." What has happened is completely amazing - the Democrats had the next JFK, the first serious African-American candidate, a country in economic shambles, an unpopular war, and the majority of problems blamed on Republicans and Bush. It should have been a slam dunk election.
Sadly, for Democrats, this wasn't the case. They had a gruelling primary battle between Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama, and the far left fringes got the candidate they wanted. By choosing the charismatic candidate with the lesser experience, the Democrats appeared to be in cruise control, ready to pop open the bottle of champagne. But then something amazing happened - the candidate overlooked the person he barely beat in the primary, thus alienating many of her voters, and chose a man with a vast amount of foreign policy experience - something to complement his weaknesses.
On paper, it seemed like a good, safe pick. That is until people realized Joe Biden wasn't at all interesting, had more Washington experience than John McCain and threw out the whole notion of change, until the change Obama was running on was redefined as a different kind of change, which simply meant "Not Republican." This unfortunately, is the same "change" any politician runs on when challenging the incumbent party.
Even with all of these issues, the race seemed like it would be close, but still a Democratic win. That is until today. Earlier I was speaking with my wife and I said that my gut feeling right now is that McCain is goin to win big. All the momentum is going his way, and Obama's actions lately have showed him appearing to crack under the pressure. What happened today at a rally in New Hampshire took everyone, including myself by surprise when Joe Biden said the following:
"Hillary Clinton is as qualified or more qualified than I am to be vice president of the United States of America. Let’s get that straight. She’s a truly close personal friend, she is qualified to be president of the United States of America, she’s easily qualified to be vice president of the United States of America, and quite frankly, it might have been a better pick than me. But she’s first rate, I mean that sincerely, she’s first rate, so let’s get that straight."
Now, this does a couple things. First, it knocks down any prestige that Biden had, and further elevates the star of Sarah Palin above his. Second, and more importantly, it digs at the heart of Obama's credibility. If Hillary was more qualified and would have been a better pick, then why didn't Obama forsee this? Of course, I believe that Obama knew this all along - the most difficult ticket to defeat from a Republican perspective would be an Obama/Hillary one.
There has been talk of Biden stepping down for various reasons because of the way the election is going. Obama couldn't ask him to do so without destroying his chances, and Biden would need a legitimate health or family reason. On top of that, if this were to open a door for Hillary, I can't imagine her accepting the VP slot. She was originally passed over, and joining now would lower her prestige as well. She also may see the changing political tides and realize she'll have a better chance in 2012 to run if Obama loses, than to hope and run in 2016 with her age.
With everything that has happened in the last few days in the political world, I believe that today will be the day when Americans finally wake up and go to McCain in droves.
Trackback(0)
Wednesday, 10 September 2008 18:43