
With the recent headline on Drudge that McCain has
decided on his running mate, some analysis on who that person will be is in order. Common thoughts are either former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney, or current Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty. Other names such as Kay Bailey Hutchinson, Bobby Jindal, Tom Ridge and Sarah Palin have been mentioned, among many more, but I find all of them to be a reach.
Tim Pawlenty is a safe choice, but I don't think he would be able to hold his own against Joe Biden in any comparisons or debates. In addition, Minnesota looks like a solid Democrat state in the 2008 election, so there would be no electoral help. Pawlenty has around a 55% approval rating, which probably isn't enough to swing the state to the GOP.
Mitt Romney, the other front runner for the selection, also wouldn't win his home state of Massachusetts. However, the wildcard effect from Romney is his backing in my home state of Michigan, an interesting swing state. Michigan is in a unique position for the GOP in this election. While much of the country is upset with Republicans and the Bush administration, Michigan is much worse off than other states and is controlled by a flawed Democratic leadership:
Governor Jennifer Granholm has a lower approval rating than George W. Bush and only won the 2006 election due to a poorly managed campaign by Dick DeVos and by drilling into folks minds that he was just the same as Bush - sound familiar?
Detroit Mayor Kwame Kilpatrick is lucky to not be rotting in jail as we speak. He's facing jail time for assaulting a Sheriff's detective among other things and has an approval rating of 2%.
Senator Debbie Stabenow has received bad PR lately with her husband getting busted in a prostitution sting.
Unlike Obama's Vice Presidential choice of Joe Biden, McCain's choice could actually flip a state, and in the case of Michigan, a 17 electoral vote swing would be immensely helpful. Should John McCain select Mitt Romney, the ticket will receive my full support. If McCain decided to go in a different direction, my support would be lukewarm at best, with the exception of Mike Huckabee - for whom my support would be non-existant. The recent press tour Romney has been on, along with the never-ending praise he gives McCain leads me to believe that he will, in fact, be the selection.
I believe he will select Romney, and look forward to the announcement after the Democratic Convention.
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Wednesday, 27 August 2008 18:30