Politics

patriotRecently, in my quest for knowledge, I picked up a 932 page book titled A Patriot's History of the United States - From Columbus's Great Discovery To The War On Terror which is a nice play on words of the book A People's History of the United States, in which America is more oft criticized, rather than praised.

While only in the second chapter, I see parallels to what is happening today, and why some of my non-American friends don't understand things here both socially and economically:

"The final source of unreset originated in the flawed nature of mercantilism itself. Mercantilist doctrine demanded that the individual subordinate his economic activity to the interests of the state. Such an attitude may have been practicable in Rome or in Charlemagne's empire; but the ideas of the Enlightenment soon gave Americans the intellectual basis for insisting that individuals could pursue wealth for themselves, and give the state only its fair share. It did not help the English that mercantilism was based on a conceptual framework that saw wealth as fixed and limited, meaning that for the government to get more wealth, individuals had to receive less of the fruit of their own labor."

"Having the state pick winners and losers in the fields of enterprise proved disastrous, and not merely because it antagonized the Americans...In Philadelphia, 'Opportunity, enterprise and adversity reinforced each other. A young business man could borrow money and move into trade, challenging the commercial positon of older, more established merchants. His opportunity was ... their adversity.' The rich got richer, but so too did the poor and a large middle class."

What I've discovered in my talks with those from outside America is that they just don't understand our freedoms, both socially and economically. They don't understand that the pie of wealth is not finite, but are in a group that still believes in mercantilism. They do not see that when the state picks winners and losers - General Motors, AIG, etc...that it greatly upsets Americans. Sure, its easy to get on a soap box and berate the rich for, well...being rich, but at the same time, the poor and middle class are also moving up as well! More economically savvy men than myself, such as Arthur Laffer, have proven that for the government to get more wealth, it does not mean we must, as individuals, receive less.

I'm amazed by the depth being covered in this book. While not quite the length of War and Peace, it is nevertheless more in depth than any history book I've run across while in school and I highly recommend it. The amount of sources cited is also unbelievable, which helps it stand apart from a 'this is how it is' book. When looking at history, the only way to ascertain a legitimate opinion is by reading original sources. To have someone tell you how to interpret something removes the critical thinking needed to succeed in life and this book promotes a sense of critical thinking you won't get from watching American Idol or The Daily Show.

Someone at Vimeo was kind enough to upload the video in its entirety. While I might normally ignore CPAC, I made sure to catch Beck's speech. For those of you that spew hatred at Beck - typically for simply being on Fox News or disagreeing with Obama - this is a must watch. Both parties are to blame for the fiscal irresponsibility. Common sense is crucial. There is no blind hate being pushed by Beck, only a desire to learn from history and past mistakes.

facepalmCalculated Risk posted their weekly summary and a look ahead for next week with two troubling charts.

First, the percent of jobs lost - not unemployment rate - is hovering around 5.2%, making it the worst of any recession since figures were recorded in 1948. That is to say, that this recession has had the most dramatic effect on our work force.

Second, and perhaps more troubling, is the statistic of workers unemployed for more than 26 weeks. Currently, the percentage of unemployed for this long is at a record 4.0% with 6.13 million workers. The early 1980s recession was the next highest, with 2.5% unemployed for more than 26 weeks.

The recession has not only hit hard, but it has been sustained. Unemployment levels can flatten, but until we see those out of work for a long period of time finding work, the economy has a long way to go.

Well it certainly has been some time. As the Nationwide commercials say - "Life comes at you fast."

Politics are still a major interest of mine, but the economy, both personally and for that of the country have far surpassed the petty political jabs lobbed back between the two parties. The two parties, which I might add have worked in conjunction to bring us to the brink of collapse we are at today. In any event, I've shifted from politics to economic matters. My core beliefs have not changed, but the intricacies have been refined and have evolved.

From a personal standpoint, I've fully embraced the financial planning of Dave Ramsey. He is the quintessential guide to personal finance and getting out of debt. Ironically, much of the criticism levied against him is that his solutions to complex problems are often too simplistic. But isn't that the case most of the time? We overcomplicate everything as a way to justify our own action, or to place the blame on others. The first tenant that Ramsey speaks of is the "Baby Steps" to get out of debt.

  1. $1000 Emergency Fund
  2. Pay off all debt using the "debt snowball"
  3. Expand the Emergency Fund to include 3-6 months of expenses
  4. Invest 15% of household income into Roth IRAs and Pre-Tax retirement
  5. College funding for children
  6. Pay off home early
  7. Build wealth and give - invest in mutual funds and real estate

In addition to the Baby steps listed above, there are a couple ideas that I consider to be core principles. The first is in relation to home mortgages and of buying "too much house." Dave's rule of thumb is to get a 15 year mortgage that is no more than 25% of your take home pay. This succeeds in doing two things - First, you aren't burdened with a 30 year mortgage that will cost excessive amounts of interest over the term of the loan. Second, the payments are low enough that you have the ability to save money for the future, be it retirement, college funds etc...

The other core principle is one which hits close to the heart of my fellow Michiganders and is in relation to the automotive industry and that is to avoid buying new cars, and more importantly - leasing cars, or as Dave refers to them - "fleecing" cars. I'll quote Dave's book directly on this to put car payments into perspective:

Taking on a car payment is one of the dumbest things people do to destroy their chances of building wealth. The car payment is most folks' largest payment except for their home mortgage, so it steals more money from the income than virtually anything else. USA Today notes that the average car payment is $464 over sixty-four months. Most people get a car payment and keep it throughout their lives. As soon as a car is paid off, they get another payment because they "need" a new car. If you keep a $464 car payment throughout your life, which is "normal," you miss the opportunity to save that money. If you invested $464 per month from age 25 to age 65, a normal working lifetime, in the average mutual fund averaging 12 percent (the seventy-year stock market average), you would have $5,458,854,45 at age sixty-five. Hope you like the car!

So while I come off as boring to many, I'm simply using logic and looking to the future. It is human nature to want it and want it now; it is also a sign of immaturity. Being willing to delay pleasure for a greater result is a sign of maturity. However, our culture teaches us to live for the now. Don't live for the now, but rather, the future.

newspapersNewspapers have existed for thousands of years dating back to the time of Julius Caesar, although perhaps not in the form that we are familiar with, which didn't exist until movable type was invented with the first modern newspaper being published in 1605.

A little more than four-hundred years is quite a run I'd say. The sad truth is that newspapers are becoming obsolete, both as a medium for information and as a business model. As nearly everyone has access to the Internet, television or radio, the printed newspaper just doesn't cut it.

Environmentalists can celebrate the reduction in the usage of paper. Impatient folks can jump for joy with not having to search through the paper for a story and the techies can be giddy with the advancements made during the last few years.

Newspapers hold some nostalgic value - I recall saving papers of important sporting events when I was younger - Championships by the Red Wings and Pistons, Presidential elections and record setting events. People naturally want to hold on to things and not embrace change, but that is, unfortunately, what we must do.

Newspaper circulation is down across the board, Senator Ben Cardin's proposed Newspaper Revitalization Act simply delays the inevitable. In a nutshell, the bill allows newspapers to become a tax-exempt non-profit organization, prohibited from making political endorsements.

What's puzzling is that Senator Cardin agrees with the same logic I'm using, but still finds the bill to have merit:

"We are losing our newspaper industry," Cardin said. "The economy has caused an immediate problem, but the business model for newspapers, based on circulation and advertising revenue, is broken, and that is a real tragedy for communities across the nation and for our democracy."

Like anything else, the newspaper industry needs to find a way to reinvent itself. Many papers are voluntarily reducing circulation or moving to an online business model. Singling the industry out for something like this makes no sense. When looked at from afar, it can be substitued with other industries such as the horse and buggy manufacturers or steam engines - both of which seem preposterous - but are valid comparisons because all of the industries are obsolete from a technological perspective.

Perhaps it's the cynic in me, but I'm also skeptical of the political endorsement clause as well. Lets face it, the newspaper media isn't known for being unbiased in reporting stories, so the lack of an endorsement would simply make the message more covert. In addition, when government funds and tax-exempt status is placed upon a private industry or institution, it opens the door for corruption. A puff piece here or some extra digging here to receive extra funds and completely twist and distort the media's purpose from checking government to working hand in hand with them as a mouthpiece to further an idea. The same works for rich donors offering a tax-deductible donation for writing or not writing certain stories.

Corruption, technology, whatever - The newspaper industry should be allowed to succeed or fail on its own merits, rather than be supported while failing as that only enables the same poor decision making to continue and pushes back the inevitable failure.

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